daily prop · San Diego, CA · West Coast & Southwest · settles Sun Oct 18

San Diego runs hot-for-here: 83°F+ · Sun Oct 18

YES

settled · observed 84

longshot hit on the tape

83°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 83°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 3¢ and still hit.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

ndfd		95¢
rrfs		84¢
icon		72¢
nbm		67¢
aifs		51¢
eps		49¢
wn2		30¢
hres		15¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KSAN-20261018-TMAX-GE83 · opened 2026-10-11T07:32:49+00:00 · settled 2026-10-19T13:41:58+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape