— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
icon
39¢
ndfd
10¢
nbm
4¢
hres
2¢
aifs
1¢
eps
1¢
wn2
0¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
72–73°F2¢
74–75°F6¢
76–77°F17¢
78–79°F27¢
80–81°F26¢
82–83°F16¢
84–85°F6¢
86–87°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,255 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.905 vs climatology 8.863.
Receipts
prop id WP-KSAN-20261019-TMAX-GE90 · opened 2026-10-13T15:41:57+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape