— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
hres
18¢
ndfd
18¢
icon
18¢
eps
15¢
nbm
6¢
aifs
6¢
wn2
4¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
64–65°F1¢
66–67°F5¢
68–69°F15¢
70–71°F26¢
72–73°F27¢
74–75°F17¢
76–77°F7¢
78–79°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,413 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.902 vs climatology 8.854.
Receipts
prop id WP-KSAN-20261023-TMAX-LE67 · opened 2026-10-19T07:33:57+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape