daily prop · San Antonio, TX · Plains & South Central · settles Thu Oct 22

San Antonio runs hot-for-here: 89°F+ · Thu Oct 22

7¢

american +1345 · decimal 14.45

on the tape

89°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 89°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		27¢
hres		22¢
icon		22¢
aifs		17¢
ndfd		10¢
eps		9¢
nbm		8¢
wn2		6¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

78–79°F3¢

80–81°F10¢

82–83°F22¢

84–85°F29¢

86–87°F22¢

88–89°F10¢

90–91°F3¢

calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 14,462 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.69 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KSAT-20261022-TMAX-GE89 · opened 2026-10-15T10:53:43+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape