daily prop · Seattle, WA · West Coast & Southwest · settles Fri Oct 16

Seattle high ≥ 69°F · Fri Oct 16

YES

settled · observed 77

longshot hit whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 69°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 1¢ and still hit; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		95¢
icon		94¢
hres		90¢
aifs		83¢
eps		73¢
nbm		56¢
ndfd		54¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KSEA-20261016-TMAX-GE69 · opened 2026-10-11T15:12:09+00:00 · settled 2026-10-17T13:53:26+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape