daily prop · Seattle, WA · West Coast & Southwest · settles Sat Oct 17

Seattle runs hot-for-here: 67°F+ · Sat Oct 17

settled · observed 62

whiplash on the tape

67°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 67°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

eps		97¢
aifs		23¢
hres		21¢
rrfs		12¢
wn2		12¢
icon		4¢
ndfd		2¢
nbm		0¢
hrrr		0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KSEA-20261017-TMAX-GE67 · opened 2026-10-10T22:28:03+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:09:35+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape