daily prop · San Francisco, CA · West Coast & Southwest · settles Sun Oct 18

San Francisco high ≥ 76°F · Sun Oct 18

settled · observed 65

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 76°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

nbm		54¢
icon		50¢
eps		47¢
hres		19¢
aifs		1¢
wn2		1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KSFO-20261018-TMAX-GE76 · opened 2026-10-11T11:20:16+00:00 · settled 2026-10-19T13:42:21+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape