WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
daily prop · San Francisco, CA · West Coast & Southwest · settles Tue Oct 20

San Francisco high ≥ 67°F · Tue Oct 20

50¢
american -100 · decimal 2.0
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 67°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1310/20 12:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
aifs
65¢
eps
57¢
nbm
54¢
icon
51¢
hres
38¢
wn2
34¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
64–65°F6¢
66–67°F33¢
68–69°F44¢
70–71°F15¢
72–73°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KSFO-20261020-TMAX-GE67 · opened 2026-10-13T08:04:19+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape