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daily prop · San Francisco, CA · West Coast & Southwest · settles Tue Oct 20

San Francisco stays cold-for-here: high ≤ 62°F · Tue Oct 20

3¢
american +3484 · decimal 35.84
on the tape
62°F is the bottom-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present).
Canonical settlement condition: High ≤ 62°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1710/20 10:07
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
hrrr
35¢
hres
25¢
icon
15¢
eps
14¢
wn2
9¢
aifs
6¢
nbm
2¢
ndfd
1¢
rrfs
0¢
now
0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
64–65°F6¢
66–67°F33¢
68–69°F44¢
70–71°F15¢
72–73°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KSFO-20261020-TMAX-LE62 · opened 2026-10-16T13:28:58+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape