daily prop · Salt Lake City, UT · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Thu Oct 15

Salt Lake City high ≥ 64°F · Thu Oct 15

settled · observed 63

whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 64°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as high as 90¢ and busted; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

hrrr		70¢
aifs		68¢
nbm		58¢
ndfd		56¢
rrfs		39¢
wn2		23¢
hres		20¢
eps		19¢
icon		4¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KSLC-20261015-TMAX-GE64 · opened 2026-10-14T03:45:38+00:00 · settled 2026-10-16T13:34:09+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape