daily prop · Salt Lake City, UT · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Fri Oct 16

Salt Lake City high ≥ 66°F · Fri Oct 16

YES

settled · observed 67

longshot hit on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 66°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 0¢ and still hit.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

now		100¢
hrrr		100¢
aifs		80¢
rrfs		76¢
ndfd		59¢
nbm		59¢
hres		48¢
eps		32¢
wn2		28¢
icon		23¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KSLC-20261016-TMAX-GE66 · opened 2026-10-12T04:01:52+00:00 · settled 2026-10-17T13:53:40+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape