— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
icon
22¢
hres
17¢
aifs
16¢
wn2
10¢
ndfd
7¢
eps
2¢
nbm
0¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
60–61°F1¢
62–63°F5¢
64–65°F13¢
66–67°F24¢
68–69°F27¢
70–71°F19¢
72–73°F8¢
74–75°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 14,052 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.161 vs climatology 8.892.
Receipts
prop id WP-KSLC-20261018-TMAX-GE76 · opened 2026-10-11T07:32:33+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape