WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
daily prop · Sacramento, CA · West Coast & Southwest · settles Wed Sep 16

Sacramento high ≥ 81°F · Wed Sep 16

NO
settled · observed 80
whiplash on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 81°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢09/0109/0909/16 18:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as high as 100¢ and busted; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
wn2
95¢
aifs
88¢
eps
84¢
hres
82¢
icon
70¢
nbm
55¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KSMF-20260916-TMAX-GE81 · opened 2026-09-09T11:22:51+00:00 · settled 2026-09-17T13:30:26+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape