daily prop · Sacramento, CA · West Coast & Southwest · settles Mon Oct 19

Sacramento high ≥ 71°F · Mon Oct 19

86¢

american -614 · decimal 1.16

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 71°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

eps		100¢
aifs		91¢
wn2		87¢
rrfs		87¢
hres		79¢
nbm		59¢
ndfd		56¢
icon		35¢
hrrr		15¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

70–71°F6¢

72–73°F30¢

74–75°F43¢

76–77°F18¢

78–79°F2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KSMF-20261019-TMAX-GE71 · opened 2026-10-14T03:00:13+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape