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daily prop · Sacramento, CA · West Coast & Southwest · settles Mon Oct 19

Sacramento high ≥ 73°F · Mon Oct 19

69¢
american -224 · decimal 1.45
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 73°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0410/1510/19 06:47
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
eps
100¢
aifs
80¢
rrfs
69¢
wn2
68¢
hres
61¢
ndfd
59¢
nbm
41¢
icon
17¢
hrrr
2¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
70–71°F6¢
72–73°F30¢
74–75°F43¢
76–77°F18¢
78–79°F2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KSMF-20261019-TMAX-GE73 · opened 2026-10-14T15:12:45+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape