daily prop · Sacramento, CA · West Coast & Southwest · settles Thu Oct 22

Sacramento stays cold-for-here: high ≤ 64°F · Thu Oct 22

2¢

american +5456 · decimal 55.56

on the tape

64°F is the bottom-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present).

Canonical settlement condition: High ≤ 64°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		30¢
nbm		12¢
eps		6¢
aifs		5¢
wn2		4¢
ndfd		3¢
rrfs		0¢
hres		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

62–63°F1¢

64–65°F3¢

66–67°F9¢

68–69°F18¢

70–71°F25¢

72–73°F23¢

74–75°F14¢

76–77°F6¢

78–79°F2¢

calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 14,462 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.69 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KSMF-20261022-TMAX-LE64 · opened 2026-10-18T08:01:53+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape