daily prop · St. Louis, MO · Plains & South Central · settles Sun Oct 18

St. Louis high ≥ 69°F · Sun Oct 18

settled · observed 66

whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 69°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as high as 97¢ and busted; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

ndfd		59¢
nbm		59¢
eps		25¢
aifs		21¢
wn2		14¢
hres		6¢
rrfs		5¢
icon		1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KSTL-20261018-TMAX-GE69 · opened 2026-10-18T04:14:15+00:00 · settled 2026-10-19T13:42:37+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape