WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
daily prop · St. Louis, MO · Plains & South Central · settles Mon Oct 19

St. Louis high ≥ 71°F · Mon Oct 19

45¢
american +123 · decimal 2.23
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 71°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0410/1610/19 06:47
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
nbm
75¢
aifs
63¢
ndfd
59¢
hrrr
58¢
wn2
56¢
eps
32¢
rrfs
30¢
hres
17¢
icon
10¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
64–65°F0¢
66–67°F7¢
68–69°F33¢
70–71°F42¢
72–73°F16¢
74–75°F2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KSTL-20261019-TMAX-GE71 · opened 2026-10-16T04:24:24+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape