daily prop · Tampa, FL · Southeast · settles Sun Oct 18

Tampa stays cold-for-here: high ≤ 78°F · Sun Oct 18

settled · observed 82

whiplash on the tape

78°F is the bottom-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present).

Canonical settlement condition: High ≤ 78°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as high as 98¢ and busted; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		58¢
nbm		44¢
icon		32¢
hres		27¢
ndfd		24¢
aifs		14¢
wn2		8¢
eps		6¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KTPA-20261018-TMAX-LE78 · opened 2026-10-14T10:32:36+00:00 · settled 2026-10-19T13:42:46+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape