daily prop · Tampa, FL · Southeast · settles Mon Oct 19

Tampa runs hot-for-here: 89°F+ · Mon Oct 19

2¢

american +6352 · decimal 64.52

on the tape

89°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 89°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		15¢
aifs		12¢
icon		6¢
hres		5¢
nbm		4¢
eps		1¢
ndfd		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

74–75°F2¢

76–77°F6¢

78–79°F14¢

80–81°F22¢

82–83°F24¢

84–85°F18¢

86–87°F9¢

88–89°F3¢

90–91°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,255 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.905 vs climatology 8.863.

Receipts

prop id WP-KTPA-20261019-TMAX-GE89 · opened 2026-10-12T07:48:03+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape