WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
week prop · Tampa, FL · Southeast · settles Mon Oct 19

Tampa touches 90°F sometime this week

73¢
american -273 · decimal 1.37
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/1210/1210/13 07:17
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Day by Day

the window, priced
Tue Oct 13
8¢
Wed Oct 14
8¢
Thu Oct 15
25¢
Fri Oct 16
38¢
Sat Oct 17
18¢
Sun Oct 18
8¢
Mon Oct 19
10¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KTPA-20261019-WK-ANY90 · opened 2026-10-12T07:48:05+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape