WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
week prop · Tampa, FL · Southeast · settles Tue Oct 20

Tampa touches 90°F sometime this week

83¢
american -485 · decimal 1.21
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/1310/1310/14 09:46
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Day by Day

the window, priced
Wed Oct 14
26¢
Thu Oct 15
45¢
Fri Oct 16
40¢
Sat Oct 17
2¢
Sun Oct 18
3¢
Mon Oct 19
11¢
Tue Oct 20
17¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KTPA-20261020-WK-ANY90 · opened 2026-10-13T08:03:09+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape