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week prop · Tampa, FL · Southeast · settles Thu Oct 22

Tampa touches 90°F sometime this week

41¢
american +144 · decimal 2.44
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/1510/1510/16 12:42
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Day by Day

the window, priced
Fri Oct 16
39¢
Sat Oct 17
0¢
Sun Oct 18
0¢
Mon Oct 19
2¢
Tue Oct 20
1¢
Wed Oct 21
0¢
Thu Oct 22
1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KTPA-20261022-WK-ANY90 · opened 2026-10-15T07:49:27+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape