daily prop · Tampa, FL · Southeast · settles Sat Oct 24

Tampa runs hot-for-here: 88°F+ · Sat Oct 24

6¢

american +1448 · decimal 15.48

on the tape

88°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 88°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

aifs		24¢
hres		22¢
wn2		17¢
ndfd		11¢
icon		10¢
nbm		5¢
eps		4¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

76–77°F2¢

78–79°F8¢

80–81°F18¢

82–83°F26¢

84–85°F24¢

86–87°F14¢

88–89°F5¢

90–91°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 14,364 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.162 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KTPA-20261024-TMAX-GE88 · opened 2026-10-17T07:44:14+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape