daily prop · Tampa, FL · Southeast · settles Sun Oct 25

Tampa runs hot-for-here: 88°F+ · Sun Oct 25

11¢

american +847 · decimal 9.47

on the tape

88°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 88°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		37¢
aifs		28¢
hres		26¢
wn2		19¢
ndfd		14¢
eps		5¢
nbm		5¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

76–77°F2¢

78–79°F8¢

80–81°F16¢

82–83°F23¢

84–85°F23¢

86–87°F16¢

88–89°F8¢

90–91°F2¢

calibration receipt: lead 5, scored on 14,315 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.48 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KTPA-20261025-TMAX-GE88 · opened 2026-10-18T08:01:04+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape