daily prop · Tucson, AZ · West Coast & Southwest · settles Sat Oct 17

Tucson stays cold-for-here: high ≤ 74°F · Sat Oct 17

settled · observed 80

whiplash on the tape

74°F is the bottom-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present).

Canonical settlement condition: High ≤ 74°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as high as 98¢ and busted; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		89¢
nbm		9¢
hres		6¢
aifs		5¢
wn2		5¢
eps		3¢
ndfd		0¢
rrfs		0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KTUS-20261017-TMAX-LE74 · opened 2026-10-13T08:04:33+00:00 · settled 2026-10-18T14:10:21+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape