— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
rrfs
31¢
hres
14¢
eps
13¢
aifs
12¢
nbm
9¢
ndfd
6¢
icon
2¢
wn2
2¢
hrrr
0¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
74–75°F1¢
76–77°F3¢
78–79°F8¢
80–81°F16¢
82–83°F23¢
84–85°F23¢
86–87°F16¢
88–89°F8¢
90–91°F2¢
92–93°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,205 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.906 vs climatology 8.875.
Receipts
prop id WP-KTUS-20261019-TMAX-GE90 · opened 2026-10-12T07:49:19+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape