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daily prop · Tucson, AZ · West Coast & Southwest · settles Tue Oct 20

Tucson high ≥ 86°F · Tue Oct 20

76¢
american -313 · decimal 1.32
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 86°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1710/20 06:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
rrfs
98¢
hres
95¢
aifs
80¢
wn2
79¢
eps
76¢
ndfd
56¢
nbm
55¢
icon
43¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
84–85°F2¢
86–87°F17¢
88–89°F46¢
90–91°F30¢
92–93°F5¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KTUS-20261020-TMAX-GE86 · opened 2026-10-17T15:25:25+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape