daily prop · Tucson, AZ · West Coast & Southwest · settles Tue Oct 20

A 90° day in Tucson · Tue Oct 20

26¢

american +289 · decimal 3.89

on the tape

Settles YES on an official high of 90°F or hotter.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 90°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		91¢
now		88¢
hrrr		76¢
hres		56¢
ndfd		41¢
aifs		30¢
nbm		25¢
eps		24¢
wn2		22¢
icon		12¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

84–85°F2¢

86–87°F17¢

88–89°F46¢

90–91°F30¢

92–93°F5¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KTUS-20261020-TMAX-GE90 · opened 2026-10-13T08:04:35+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape