daily prop · Tucson, AZ · West Coast & Southwest · settles Tue Oct 20

Tucson runs hot-for-here: 93°F+ · Tue Oct 20

3¢

american +3868 · decimal 39.68

on the tape

93°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 93°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		61¢
hres		26¢
hrrr		24¢
now		12¢
eps		8¢
aifs		7¢
ndfd		6¢
wn2		4¢
nbm		2¢
icon		2¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

84–85°F2¢

86–87°F17¢

88–89°F46¢

90–91°F30¢

92–93°F5¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KTUS-20261020-TMAX-GE93 · opened 2026-10-13T08:04:35+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape