week prop · Tucson, AZ · West Coast & Southwest · settles Wed Oct 21
Tucson touches 90°F sometime this week
33¢
american +202 · decimal 3.02
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.
The Tape
what the models knew, when
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Day by Day
the window, priced
Thu Oct 15
1¢
Fri Oct 16
0¢
Sat Oct 17
0¢
Sun Oct 18
1¢
Mon Oct 19
8¢
Tue Oct 20
16¢
Wed Oct 21
12¢
Receipts
prop id WP-KTUS-20261021-WK-ANY90 · opened 2026-10-14T10:35:15+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape