week prop · Tucson, AZ · West Coast & Southwest · settles Sun Oct 25
Tucson touches 90°F sometime this week
65¢
american -188 · decimal 1.53
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.
The Tape
what the models knew, when
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Day by Day
the window, priced
Mon Oct 19
3¢
Tue Oct 20
30¢
Wed Oct 21
37¢
Thu Oct 22
11¢
Fri Oct 23
0¢
Sat Oct 24
1¢
Sun Oct 25
8¢
Receipts
prop id WP-KTUS-20261025-WK-ANY90 · opened 2026-10-18T08:02:06+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape