WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
← Model league
SHADOW SEASON / D1 CONTEST RECEIPT

KATL · High ≥ 85°F

Atlanta, GA · 20260911 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineSep 10 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day startsSep 11 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day endsSep 12 · 05:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsSep 19 · 05:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KATL ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/New_York.

Scheduled opponents

IFS Ensemble versus ICON

WeatherNext 2 versus IFS HRES

Bye: AIFS Single. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
EPS
>99%
HRES
98%
AIFS
87%
ICON
87%
WN2
84%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS87%Sep 09 · 18:00 UTCSep 10 · 01:29 UTCSep 10 · 01:29 UTC
EPS>99%Sep 09 · 12:00 UTCSep 10 · 01:59 UTCSep 10 · 01:59 UTC
HRES98%Sep 09 · 12:00 UTCSep 09 · 19:21 UTCSep 09 · 19:21 UTC
ICON87%Sep 10 · 00:00 UTCSep 10 · 04:32 UTCSep 10 · 04:32 UTC
WN284%Sep 09 · 12:00 UTCSep 09 · 22:55 UTCSep 09 · 22:55 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
EPSICON350.9324032.632.37+2.37 / -2.37
HRESWN2360.9078032.683.32+3.32 / -3.32

The observation record

Finalized contract result: YES · 88°F · Sep 15 · 05:38 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Sep 12 · 09:59 UTC88°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KATL:20260911:D1