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SHADOW SEASON / D5 CONTEST RECEIPT

KATL · High ≥ 80°F

Atlanta, GA · 20260928 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineSep 23 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day startsSep 28 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day endsSep 29 · 05:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsOct 06 · 05:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KATL ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/New_York.

Scheduled opponents

AIFS Single versus WeatherNext 2

IFS HRES versus IFS Ensemble

Bye: ICON. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
EPS
98%
HRES
87%
AIFS
81%
ICON
74%
WN2
34%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS81%Sep 22 · 18:00 UTCSep 23 · 01:26 UTCSep 23 · 01:26 UTC
EPS98%Sep 22 · 00:00 UTCSep 22 · 10:56 UTCSep 22 · 10:56 UTC
HRES87%Sep 22 · 12:00 UTCSep 23 · 04:33 UTCSep 23 · 04:33 UTC
ICON74%Sep 23 · 00:00 UTCSep 23 · 04:33 UTCSep 23 · 04:33 UTC
WN234%Sep 22 · 12:00 UTCSep 22 · 23:06 UTCSep 22 · 23:06 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
AIFSWN2580.5716033.1524.85+24.85 / -24.85
EPSHRES150.9265013.901.10+1.10 / -1.10

The observation record

Finalized contract result: YES · 80°F · Oct 02 · 06:03 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Sep 29 · 09:32 UTC80°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KATL:20260928:D5