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SHADOW SEASON / D5 CONTEST RECEIPT

KATL · High ≥ 77°F

Atlanta, GA · 20261007 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineOct 02 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day startsOct 07 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day endsOct 08 · 05:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsOct 15 · 05:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KATL ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/New_York.

Scheduled opponents

IFS Ensemble versus ICON

WeatherNext 2 versus IFS HRES

Bye: AIFS Single. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
HRES
57%
EPS
51%
AIFS
49%
WN2
46%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS49%Oct 01 · 18:00 UTCOct 02 · 01:29 UTCOct 02 · 01:29 UTC
EPS51%Oct 01 · 00:00 UTCOct 01 · 13:55 UTCOct 01 · 13:55 UTC
HRES57%Oct 01 · 12:00 UTCOct 01 · 23:07 UTCOct 01 · 23:07 UTC
WN246%Oct 01 · 18:00 UTCOct 02 · 04:54 UTCOct 02 · 04:54 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
HRESWN2260.5155513.4012.60+12.60 / -12.60

IFS Ensemble / ICON: Missing eligible forecast.

The observation record

Finalized contract result: YES · 80°F · Oct 11 · 05:06 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Oct 08 · 09:52 UTC80°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KATL:20261007:D5