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SHADOW SEASON / D3 CONTEST RECEIPT

KBOS · High ≥ 75°F

Boston, MA · 20260912 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineSep 09 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day startsSep 12 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day endsSep 13 · 05:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsSep 20 · 05:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KBOS ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/New_York.

Scheduled opponents

AIFS Single versus IFS HRES

ICON versus WeatherNext 2

Bye: IFS Ensemble. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
AIFS
79%
WN2
62%
EPS
61%
HRES
55%
ICON
38%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS79%Sep 08 · 18:00 UTCSep 09 · 01:29 UTCSep 09 · 01:29 UTC
EPS61%Sep 08 · 00:00 UTCSep 08 · 15:49 UTCSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
HRES55%Sep 08 · 12:00 UTCSep 08 · 19:22 UTCSep 08 · 19:22 UTC
ICON38%Sep 08 · 12:00 UTCSep 08 · 19:22 UTCSep 08 · 19:22 UTC
WN262%Sep 08 · 12:00 UTCSep 08 · 22:57 UTCSep 08 · 22:57 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
AIFSHRES490.6703032.8416.16-32.84 / +32.84
WN2ICON660.5013033.0932.91-33.09 / +33.09

The observation record

Finalized contract result: NO · 71°F · Sep 16 · 05:19 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Sep 13 · 09:35 UTC71°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KBOS:20260912:D3