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SHADOW SEASON / D3 CONTEST RECEIPT

KBOS · High ≥ 74°F

Boston, MA · 20260914 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineSep 11 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day startsSep 14 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day endsSep 15 · 05:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsSep 22 · 05:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KBOS ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/New_York.

Scheduled opponents

AIFS Single versus WeatherNext 2

IFS HRES versus IFS Ensemble

Bye: ICON. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
WN2
88%
ICON
72%
AIFS
69%
EPS
62%
HRES
52%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS69%Sep 10 · 18:00 UTCSep 11 · 01:28 UTCSep 11 · 01:28 UTC
EPS62%Sep 10 · 00:00 UTCSep 11 · 01:13 UTCSep 11 · 01:13 UTC
HRES52%Sep 10 · 12:00 UTCSep 10 · 19:21 UTCSep 10 · 19:21 UTC
ICON72%Sep 11 · 00:00 UTCSep 11 · 04:32 UTCSep 11 · 04:32 UTC
WN288%Sep 10 · 12:00 UTCSep 10 · 22:55 UTCSep 10 · 22:55 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
WN2AIFS420.7843532.949.06+9.06 / -9.06
EPSHRES500.5671028.3621.64+21.64 / -21.64

The observation record

Finalized contract result: YES · 74°F · Sep 18 · 05:43 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Sep 15 · 09:45 UTC74°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KBOS:20260914:D3