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SHADOW SEASON / D5 CONTEST RECEIPT

KBOS · High ≥ 73°F

Boston, MA · 20260917 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineSep 12 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day startsSep 17 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day endsSep 18 · 05:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsSep 25 · 05:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KBOS ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/New_York.

Scheduled opponents

AIFS Single versus WeatherNext 2

IFS HRES versus IFS Ensemble

Bye: ICON. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
ICON
98%
WN2
93%
EPS
80%
HRES
69%
AIFS
62%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS62%Sep 11 · 18:00 UTCSep 12 · 01:32 UTCSep 12 · 01:32 UTC
EPS80%Sep 11 · 00:00 UTCSep 11 · 15:02 UTCSep 11 · 15:02 UTC
HRES69%Sep 11 · 12:00 UTCSep 11 · 19:23 UTCSep 11 · 19:23 UTC
ICON98%Sep 11 · 12:00 UTCSep 11 · 16:34 UTCSep 11 · 16:34 UTC
WN293%Sep 11 · 12:00 UTCSep 11 · 22:59 UTCSep 11 · 22:59 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
WN2AIFS420.7754032.579.43+9.43 / -9.43
EPSHRES440.7473532.8811.12+11.12 / -11.12

The observation record

Finalized contract result: YES · 76°F · Sep 21 · 05:58 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Sep 18 · 09:50 UTC76°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KBOS:20260917:D5