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SHADOW SEASON / D3 CONTEST RECEIPT

KBOS · High ≥ 72°F

Boston, MA · 20260919 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineSep 16 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day startsSep 19 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day endsSep 20 · 05:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsSep 27 · 05:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KBOS ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/New_York.

Scheduled opponents

AIFS Single versus WeatherNext 2

IFS HRES versus IFS Ensemble

Bye: ICON. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
EPS
47%
WN2
43%
ICON
28%
AIFS
24%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS24%Sep 15 · 18:00 UTCSep 16 · 01:26 UTCSep 16 · 01:26 UTC
EPS47%Sep 15 · 00:00 UTCSep 15 · 14:07 UTCSep 15 · 14:07 UTC
HRES4%Sep 15 · 12:00 UTCSep 15 · 22:21 UTCSep 15 · 22:21 UTC
ICON28%Sep 15 · 12:00 UTCSep 15 · 19:31 UTCSep 15 · 19:31 UTC
WN243%Sep 15 · 12:00 UTCSep 15 · 23:07 UTCSep 15 · 23:07 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
WN2AIFS20.335300.671.33-0.67 / +0.67
EPSHRES280.256107.1720.83-7.17 / +7.17

The observation record

Finalized contract result: NO · 62°F · Sep 23 · 05:36 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Sep 21 · 12:10 UTC62°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KBOS:20260919:D3