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SHADOW SEASON / D5 CONTEST RECEIPT

KBOS · High ≥ 71°F

Boston, MA · 20260922 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineSep 17 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day startsSep 22 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day endsSep 23 · 05:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsSep 30 · 05:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KBOS ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/New_York.

Scheduled opponents

AIFS Single versus WeatherNext 2

IFS HRES versus IFS Ensemble

Bye: ICON. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
WN2
23%
HRES
19%
ICON
11%
EPS
9%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS8%Sep 16 · 18:00 UTCSep 17 · 01:24 UTCSep 17 · 01:24 UTC
EPS9%Sep 16 · 00:00 UTCSep 16 · 15:06 UTCSep 16 · 15:06 UTC
HRES19%Sep 16 · 12:00 UTCSep 16 · 23:05 UTCSep 16 · 23:05 UTC
ICON11%Sep 17 · 00:00 UTCSep 17 · 04:31 UTCSep 17 · 04:31 UTC
WN223%Sep 16 · 12:00 UTCSep 16 · 23:05 UTCSep 16 · 23:05 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
WN2AIFS250.156553.9121.09-3.91 / +3.91
HRESEPS60.138750.835.17-0.83 / +0.83

The observation record

Finalized contract result: NO · 63°F · Sep 26 · 05:20 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Sep 23 · 09:45 UTC63°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KBOS:20260922:D5