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SHADOW SEASON / D5 CONTEST RECEIPT

KBOS · High ≥ 66°F

Boston, MA · 20261005 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineSep 30 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day startsOct 05 · 05:00 UTC
Observed day endsOct 06 · 05:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsOct 13 · 05:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KBOS ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/New_York.

Scheduled opponents

AIFS Single versus IFS HRES

ICON versus WeatherNext 2

Bye: IFS Ensemble. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
AIFS
81%
ICON
77%
WN2
70%
HRES
63%
EPS
36%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS81%Sep 29 · 18:00 UTCSep 30 · 01:32 UTCSep 30 · 01:32 UTC
EPS36%Sep 29 · 00:00 UTCSep 29 · 15:19 UTCSep 29 · 15:19 UTC
HRES63%Sep 29 · 12:00 UTCSep 29 · 19:24 UTCSep 29 · 19:24 UTC
ICON77%Sep 30 · 00:00 UTCSep 30 · 04:26 UTCSep 30 · 04:26 UTC
WN270%Sep 29 · 18:00 UTCSep 30 · 04:58 UTCSep 30 · 04:58 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
AIFSHRES140.7187510.063.94+3.94 / -3.94
ICONWN270.735955.151.85+1.85 / -1.85

The observation record

Finalized contract result: YES · 71°F · Oct 09 · 05:49 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Oct 06 · 09:09 UTC71°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KBOS:20261005:D5