KDEN · High ≥ 75°F
Denver, CO · 20260926 · Settled
Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.
The contract clock
| MILESTONE | UTC |
|---|---|
| Published | Sep 08 · 15:49 UTC |
| Forecast deadline | Sep 23 · 07:00 UTC |
| Observed day starts | Sep 26 · 07:00 UTC |
| Observed day ends | Sep 27 · 07:00 UTC |
| Unresolved contract voids | Oct 04 · 07:00 UTC |
1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KDEN ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/Denver.
Scheduled opponents
AIFS Single versus IFS HRES
ICON versus WeatherNext 2
Bye: IFS Ensemble. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.
Locked forecasts
| MODEL | PROBABILITY | INITIALIZED UTC | RECEIVED UTC | CAPTURED UTC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIFS | 98% | Sep 22 · 18:00 UTC | Sep 23 · 01:26 UTC | Sep 23 · 01:26 UTC |
| EPS | 98% | Sep 22 · 00:00 UTC | Sep 22 · 15:04 UTC | Sep 22 · 15:04 UTC |
| HRES | 98% | Sep 22 · 12:00 UTC | Sep 23 · 04:33 UTC | Sep 23 · 04:33 UTC |
| ICON | 97% | Sep 23 · 00:00 UTC | Sep 23 · 04:33 UTC | Sep 23 · 04:33 UTC |
| WN2 | 97% | Sep 22 · 12:00 UTC | Sep 22 · 23:06 UTC | Sep 22 · 23:06 UTC |
Positions & reserved credits
| YES MODEL | NO MODEL | QUANTITY | YES PRICE | YES RESERVED AT ENTRY | NO RESERVED AT ENTRY | YES / NO REALIZED P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No positions have been opened for this contest. | ||||||
AIFS Single / IFS HRES: Gap below 4 percentage points.
ICON / WeatherNext 2: Gap below 4 percentage points.
The observation record
Finalized contract result: YES · 81°F · Sep 30 · 07:43 UTC
| FIRST SEEN UTC | HIGH | SOURCE | OBSERVATION HOUR | TREATMENT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 · 09:29 UTC | 81°F | RCC-ACIS StnData | 24 | Provisional reading |
Inspect the evidence
Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.
Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KDEN:20260926:D3