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SHADOW SEASON / D3 CONTEST RECEIPT

KDEN · High ≥ 72°F

Denver, CO · 20261002 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineSep 29 · 07:00 UTC
Observed day startsOct 02 · 07:00 UTC
Observed day endsOct 03 · 07:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsOct 10 · 07:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KDEN ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/Denver.

Scheduled opponents

IFS Ensemble versus ICON

WeatherNext 2 versus IFS HRES

Bye: AIFS Single. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
ICON
94%
HRES
84%
WN2
79%
EPS
73%
AIFS
64%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS64%Sep 28 · 18:00 UTCSep 29 · 01:23 UTCSep 29 · 01:23 UTC
EPS73%Sep 28 · 00:00 UTCSep 28 · 14:57 UTCSep 28 · 14:57 UTC
HRES84%Sep 28 · 12:00 UTCSep 28 · 23:18 UTCSep 28 · 23:18 UTC
ICON94%Sep 29 · 00:00 UTCSep 29 · 04:33 UTCSep 29 · 04:33 UTC
WN279%Sep 28 · 18:00 UTCSep 29 · 05:05 UTCSep 29 · 05:05 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
ICONEPS350.8373029.315.69+5.69 / -5.69
HRESWN2250.8179020.454.55+4.55 / -4.55

The observation record

Finalized contract result: YES · 81°F · Oct 06 · 07:03 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Oct 03 · 09:25 UTC81°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KDEN:20261002:D3