KDEN · High ≥ 71°F
Denver, CO · 20261003 · Settled
Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.
The contract clock
| MILESTONE | UTC |
|---|---|
| Published | Sep 08 · 15:49 UTC |
| Forecast deadline | Oct 02 · 07:00 UTC |
| Observed day starts | Oct 03 · 07:00 UTC |
| Observed day ends | Oct 04 · 07:00 UTC |
| Unresolved contract voids | Oct 11 · 07:00 UTC |
1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KDEN ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/Denver.
Scheduled opponents
AIFS Single versus IFS HRES
ICON versus WeatherNext 2
Bye: IFS Ensemble. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.
Locked forecasts
| MODEL | PROBABILITY | INITIALIZED UTC | RECEIVED UTC | CAPTURED UTC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIFS | >99% | Oct 01 · 18:00 UTC | Oct 02 · 01:29 UTC | Oct 02 · 01:29 UTC |
| EPS | >99% | Oct 01 · 00:00 UTC | Oct 01 · 15:14 UTC | Oct 01 · 15:14 UTC |
| HRES | >99% | Oct 01 · 12:00 UTC | Oct 01 · 19:26 UTC | Oct 01 · 19:26 UTC |
| WN2 | >99% | Oct 01 · 18:00 UTC | Oct 02 · 04:54 UTC | Oct 02 · 04:54 UTC |
Positions & reserved credits
| YES MODEL | NO MODEL | QUANTITY | YES PRICE | YES RESERVED AT ENTRY | NO RESERVED AT ENTRY | YES / NO REALIZED P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No positions have been opened for this contest. | ||||||
AIFS Single / IFS HRES: Gap below 4 percentage points.
ICON / WeatherNext 2: Missing eligible forecast.
The observation record
Finalized contract result: YES · 83°F · Oct 07 · 07:33 UTC
| FIRST SEEN UTC | HIGH | SOURCE | OBSERVATION HOUR | TREATMENT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 04 · 09:45 UTC | 83°F | RCC-ACIS StnData | 24 | Provisional reading |
Inspect the evidence
Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.
Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KDEN:20261003:D1