WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
← Model league
SHADOW SEASON / D1 CONTEST RECEIPT

KDFW · High ≥ 87°F

Dallas, TX · 20260926 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineSep 25 · 06:00 UTC
Observed day startsSep 26 · 06:00 UTC
Observed day endsSep 27 · 06:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsOct 04 · 06:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KDFW ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/Chicago.

Scheduled opponents

AIFS Single versus IFS Ensemble

IFS HRES versus ICON

Bye: WeatherNext 2. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
EPS
>99%
HRES
98%
WN2
93%
AIFS
79%
ICON
75%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS79%Sep 24 · 18:00 UTCSep 25 · 01:30 UTCSep 25 · 01:30 UTC
EPS>99%Sep 24 · 00:00 UTCSep 24 · 15:06 UTCSep 24 · 15:06 UTC
HRES98%Sep 24 · 12:00 UTCSep 24 · 22:23 UTCSep 24 · 22:23 UTC
ICON75%Sep 25 · 00:00 UTCSep 25 · 04:22 UTCSep 25 · 04:22 UTC
WN293%Sep 24 · 18:00 UTCSep 25 · 04:53 UTCSep 25 · 04:53 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
EPSAIFS130.8956011.641.36+1.36 / -1.36
HRESICON90.865507.791.21+1.21 / -1.21

The observation record

Finalized contract result: YES · 95°F · Sep 30 · 06:40 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Sep 27 · 09:29 UTC95°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KDFW:20260926:D1