WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
← Model league
SHADOW SEASON / D5 CONTEST RECEIPT

KDFW · High ≥ 84°F

Dallas, TX · 20261005 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineSep 30 · 06:00 UTC
Observed day startsOct 05 · 06:00 UTC
Observed day endsOct 06 · 06:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsOct 13 · 06:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KDFW ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/Chicago.

Scheduled opponents

AIFS Single versus WeatherNext 2

IFS HRES versus IFS Ensemble

Bye: ICON. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
EPS
75%
AIFS
67%
WN2
58%
ICON
53%
HRES
33%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS67%Sep 29 · 18:00 UTCSep 30 · 01:32 UTCSep 30 · 01:32 UTC
EPS75%Sep 29 · 00:00 UTCSep 29 · 15:03 UTCSep 29 · 15:03 UTC
HRES33%Sep 29 · 12:00 UTCSep 29 · 19:25 UTCSep 29 · 19:25 UTC
ICON53%Sep 30 · 00:00 UTCSep 30 · 04:26 UTCSep 30 · 04:26 UTC
WN258%Sep 29 · 18:00 UTCSep 30 · 04:58 UTCSep 30 · 04:58 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
AIFSWN2200.6232012.467.54+7.54 / -7.54
EPSHRES330.5408017.8515.15+15.15 / -15.15

The observation record

Finalized contract result: YES · 86°F · Oct 09 · 06:52 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Oct 06 · 09:09 UTC86°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KDFW:20261005:D5