KIAH · High ≥ 88°F
Houston, TX · 20260926 · Settled
Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.
The contract clock
| MILESTONE | UTC |
|---|---|
| Published | Sep 08 · 15:49 UTC |
| Forecast deadline | Sep 21 · 06:00 UTC |
| Observed day starts | Sep 26 · 06:00 UTC |
| Observed day ends | Sep 27 · 06:00 UTC |
| Unresolved contract voids | Oct 04 · 06:00 UTC |
1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KIAH ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/Chicago.
Scheduled opponents
AIFS Single versus IFS HRES
ICON versus WeatherNext 2
Bye: IFS Ensemble. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.
Locked forecasts
Positions & reserved credits
| YES MODEL | NO MODEL | QUANTITY | YES PRICE | YES RESERVED AT ENTRY | NO RESERVED AT ENTRY | YES / NO REALIZED P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIFS | HRES | 25 | 0.90070 | 22.52 | 2.48 | +2.48 / -2.48 |
ICON / WeatherNext 2: Missing eligible forecast.
The observation record
Finalized contract result: YES · 92°F · Sep 30 · 06:40 UTC
| FIRST SEEN UTC | HIGH | SOURCE | OBSERVATION HOUR | TREATMENT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 · 09:29 UTC | 92°F | RCC-ACIS StnData | 24 | Provisional reading |
Inspect the evidence
Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.
Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KIAH:20260926:D5