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SHADOW SEASON / D1 CONTEST RECEIPT

KLAX · High ≥ 75°F

Los Angeles, CA · 20260917 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineSep 16 · 08:00 UTC
Observed day startsSep 17 · 08:00 UTC
Observed day endsSep 18 · 08:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsSep 25 · 08:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KLAX ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/Los_Angeles.

Scheduled opponents

AIFS Single versus ICON

IFS Ensemble versus WeatherNext 2

Bye: IFS HRES. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
WN2
99%
AIFS
94%
EPS
64%
ICON
60%
HRES
53%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS94%Sep 16 · 00:00 UTCSep 16 · 07:22 UTCSep 16 · 07:22 UTC
EPS64%Sep 15 · 00:00 UTCSep 15 · 23:07 UTCSep 15 · 23:07 UTC
HRES53%Sep 16 · 00:00 UTCSep 16 · 07:22 UTCSep 16 · 07:22 UTC
ICON60%Sep 16 · 00:00 UTCSep 16 · 07:22 UTCSep 16 · 07:22 UTC
WN299%Sep 15 · 18:00 UTCSep 16 · 05:03 UTCSep 16 · 05:03 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
AIFSICON430.7724033.219.79+9.79 / -9.79
WN2EPS360.8138529.306.70+6.70 / -6.70

The observation record

Finalized contract result: YES · 78°F · Sep 21 · 08:02 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Sep 18 · 12:56 UTC78°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KLAX:20260917:D1