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SHADOW SEASON / D3 CONTEST RECEIPT

KLAX · High ≥ 75°F

Los Angeles, CA · 20260917 · Settled

Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.

The contract clock

MILESTONEUTC
PublishedSep 08 · 15:49 UTC
Forecast deadlineSep 14 · 08:00 UTC
Observed day startsSep 17 · 08:00 UTC
Observed day endsSep 18 · 08:00 UTC
Unresolved contract voidsSep 25 · 08:00 UTC

1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KLAX ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/Los_Angeles.

Scheduled opponents

AIFS Single versus IFS HRES

ICON versus WeatherNext 2

Bye: IFS Ensemble. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.

Locked forecasts

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
WN2
97%
AIFS
96%
EPS
74%
ICON
67%
HRES
54%
MODELPROBABILITYINITIALIZED UTCRECEIVED UTCCAPTURED UTC
AIFS96%Sep 14 · 00:00 UTCSep 14 · 07:51 UTCSep 14 · 07:57 UTC
EPS74%Sep 13 · 00:00 UTCSep 13 · 17:31 UTCSep 13 · 17:39 UTC
HRES54%Sep 14 · 00:00 UTCSep 14 · 07:51 UTCSep 14 · 07:57 UTC
ICON67%Sep 14 · 00:00 UTCSep 14 · 07:51 UTCSep 14 · 07:57 UTC
WN297%Sep 13 · 18:00 UTCSep 14 · 05:33 UTCSep 14 · 05:41 UTC

Positions & reserved credits

YES MODELNO MODELQUANTITYYES PRICEYES RESERVED AT ENTRYNO RESERVED AT ENTRYYES / NO REALIZED P&L
AIFSHRES50.751503.761.24+1.24 / -1.24
WN2ICON240.8185019.644.36+4.36 / -4.36

The observation record

Finalized contract result: YES · 78°F · Sep 21 · 08:02 UTC

FIRST SEEN UTCHIGHSOURCEOBSERVATION HOURTREATMENT
Sep 18 · 12:56 UTC78°FRCC-ACIS StnData24Provisional reading

Inspect the evidence

Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.

Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗

Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KLAX:20260917:D3