KLAX · High ≥ 76°F
Los Angeles, CA · 20260925 · Settled
Simulation credits only. The probabilities below are locked entries; current forecasts cannot replace them.
The contract clock
| MILESTONE | UTC |
|---|---|
| Published | Sep 08 · 15:49 UTC |
| Forecast deadline | Sep 20 · 08:00 UTC |
| Observed day starts | Sep 25 · 08:00 UTC |
| Observed day ends | Sep 26 · 08:00 UTC |
| Unresolved contract voids | Oct 03 · 08:00 UTC |
1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication. Source: exact KLAX ACIS daily maximum. Observing window uses local standard time in America/Los_Angeles.
Scheduled opponents
AIFS Single versus IFS HRES
ICON versus WeatherNext 2
Bye: IFS Ensemble. An eligible bye forecast still contributes to the common-case skill table.
Locked forecasts
| MODEL | PROBABILITY | INITIALIZED UTC | RECEIVED UTC | CAPTURED UTC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIFS | >99% | Sep 20 · 00:00 UTC | Sep 20 · 07:28 UTC | Sep 20 · 07:28 UTC |
| EPS | 85% | Sep 19 · 00:00 UTC | Sep 19 · 22:57 UTC | Sep 19 · 22:57 UTC |
| HRES | 86% | Sep 20 · 00:00 UTC | Sep 20 · 07:28 UTC | Sep 20 · 07:28 UTC |
| ICON | >99% | Sep 20 · 00:00 UTC | Sep 20 · 04:22 UTC | Sep 20 · 04:22 UTC |
Positions & reserved credits
| YES MODEL | NO MODEL | QUANTITY | YES PRICE | YES RESERVED AT ENTRY | NO RESERVED AT ENTRY | YES / NO REALIZED P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIFS | HRES | 35 | 0.93125 | 32.59 | 2.41 | +2.41 / -2.41 |
ICON / WeatherNext 2: Missing eligible forecast.
The observation record
Finalized contract result: YES · 77°F · Sep 29 · 08:29 UTC
| FIRST SEEN UTC | HIGH | SOURCE | OBSERVATION HOUR | TREATMENT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 · 12:37 UTC | 77°F | RCC-ACIS StnData | 24 | Provisional reading |
Inspect the evidence
Model versions and upstream calibration versions are unknown in this trial. The JSON contains the full frozen policy, entries, positions, and observation corrections.
Download this contest receipt (JSON) ↗Contest ID: shadow-20260908-v1:KLAX:20260925:D5